Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Jake Burger
Texas Rangers · Texas Rangers vs St. Louis Cardinals
MG Score
65
B-
Tonight's Matchup
vs Dustin May · RHP
ERA
3.77
WHIP
1.03
K%
23%
Velo
91.3
Whiff%
33%
xwOBA-a
.286
First career meeting vs Dustin May.
Tonight's Projection
Statcast · last 30d
Exit Velo
92.5
Barrel%
17.9%
Hard Hit%
51%
Sweet Spot%
40%
xwOBA
0.419
xSLG
0.603
Recent Games
Last 5
60%
3/5 games
Last 10
50%
5/10 games
Last 20
65%
13/20 games
Last 30
62%
13/21 games
AVG
.229
OBP
.289
SLG
.400
OPS
.689
HR
1
RBI
4
| Date | vs | AB | H | HR | RBI | BB | K | SB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6/1 | St. Louis Cardinals | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/31 | Kansas City Royals | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/30 | Kansas City Royals | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 5/29 | Kansas City Royals | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/28 | Houston Astros | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 5/27 | Houston Astros | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 5/26 | Houston Astros | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/25 | Houston Astros | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/24 | Los Angeles Angels | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 5/23 | Los Angeles Angels | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
Spray Chart
Spray Rain
Spray Read
Jake Burger
Texas Rangers · bats RHB
vs Pitcher Hand
Window
Avg EV
90.0 mph
Avg LA
15.8°
Hard-hit %
45%
Barrel %
15%
Outcomes (100 balls)
Home Run
7Triple
0Double
3Single
15Out
75Each dot is a real batted ball this player hit, pulled from Statcast tracking.
Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast + spray refreshed daily.