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MLB / Research
Mongoose Bets
JAKE FRALEY
Over 1+ HR—@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
Prop Board
HR 1+
no line
Hits 1+
no line
2B 1+
no line
RBI 1+
no line
TB 2+
no line
Jake Fraley
JAKE
FRALEY
Over 1+ HR—
Statcast Score
50
Grade —
Exit Velo0.0Barrel%0%Hard Hit%0%xwOBA.000Sweet Spot%0%Whiff%33%Chase%13%
Matchup
VS Brayan Bello · RHP
91.7 MPH AVG FASTBALL
MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE
6
Terrible
VS
ERA
2.94
WHIP
1.19
K%
18%
Statcast Matchup
 Last 10Allows
Exit Velo0.082.8
Barrel%0%13%
Hard Hit%0%33%
xwOBA.000.341
xSLG.000.490
Whiff%33%19%
Chase%13%32%
Hot Streak
No recent logs
Elite Contact
0.0 avg EV · 0.0% barrel · 0% hard-hit
Park / Weather
Neutral park · weather neutral
Mongoose Model Projection
—
Model Prob
—
Fair Odds
—
EDGE —
Recent Form · HR last 0 games
No recent games
Last 10:  — AVG  ·  0 HR  ·  0 RBI  ·  — OPS
HR 0.5
Season—
Home—
Last 10—
vs Bello0
Tonight's Park
HR
-3%
Hits
-3%
2B
-11%
3B
+31%
K
+3%
vs league average · green helps the hitter (K inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
72°
Wind
0
Rain
0%
HR Adj
0%
K Adj
0%
weather impact on projections · green helps the hitter
odds as of 4:13 PM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game