Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Jake Mangum
Pittsburgh Pirates · Pittsburgh Pirates vs Houston Astros
MG Score
36
F
Tonight's Matchup
16
Matchup
Avoid
vs Mike Burrows · RHP · 89.9 mph avg
50 = avg vs tonight's starters
ERA
4.32
WHIP
1.17
K%
16%
Statcast matchup
Batter
Pitcher
Exit Velo
81.1
86.7
Barrel%
3.2%
10.0%
Hard Hit%
16%
25%
xwOBA
.296
.365
xSLG
.406
.525
Whiff%
9%
15%
Chase%
48%
37%
Pitcher column = the rate this starter allows. Green = good for that player, red = poor (vs MLB average).
First career meeting vs Mike Burrows.
Tonight's Projection
Statcast · last 30d
Exit Velo
81.1
Barrel%
3.2%
Hard Hit%
16%
Sweet Spot%
29%
xwOBA
0.296
xSLG
0.406
Recent Games
Last 5
60%
3/5 games
Last 10
60%
6/10 games
Last 20
45%
9/20 games
Last 30
47%
14/30 games
AVG
.310
OBP
.333
SLG
.414
OPS
.747
HR
1
RBI
6
| Date | vs | AB | H | HR | RBI | BB | K | SB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/31 | Minnesota Twins | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 5/30 | Minnesota Twins | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 5/29 | Minnesota Twins | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/28 | Chicago Cubs | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/26 | Chicago Cubs | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/24 | Toronto Blue Jays | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 5/22 | Toronto Blue Jays | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/21 | St. Louis Cardinals | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/20 | St. Louis Cardinals | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/19 | St. Louis Cardinals | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Spray Chart
Spray Rain
Spray Read
Jake Mangum
Pittsburgh Pirates · bats RHB
vs Pitcher Hand
Window
Avg EV
79.7 mph
Avg LA
-0.8°
Hard-hit %
25%
Barrel %
6%
Outcomes (69 balls)
Home Run
0Triple
0Double
2Single
21Out
46Each dot is a real batted ball this player hit, pulled from Statcast tracking.
Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast + spray refreshed daily.