Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Jake McCarthy
Colorado Rockies · Colorado Rockies vs Los Angeles Angels
MG Score
58
C
Tonight's Matchup
43
Matchup
Tough matchup
vs Grayson Rodriguez · RHP · 90.3 mph avg
50 = avg vs tonight's starters
ERA
6.11
WHIP
1.36
K%
22%
Statcast matchup
Batter
Pitcher
Exit Velo
83.7
93.5
Barrel%
8.5%
8.3%
Hard Hit%
24%
67%
xwOBA
.401
.264
xSLG
.582
.381
Whiff%
18%
20%
Chase%
35%
26%
Pitcher column = the rate this starter allows. Green = good for that player, red = poor (vs MLB average).
First career meeting vs Grayson Rodriguez.
Tonight's Projection
Statcast · last 30d
Exit Velo
83.7
Barrel%
8.5%
Hard Hit%
24%
Sweet Spot%
52%
xwOBA
0.401
xSLG
0.582
Recent Games
Last 5
60%
3/5 games
Last 10
50%
5/10 games
Last 20
58%
11/19 games
Last 30
58%
11/19 games
AVG
.275
OBP
.326
SLG
.475
OPS
.801
HR
2
RBI
7
| Date | vs | AB | H | HR | RBI | BB | K | SB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6/1 | Los Angeles Angels | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/31 | San Francisco Giants | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 5/30 | San Francisco Giants | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 5/29 | San Francisco Giants | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 5/27 | Los Angeles Dodgers | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 5/26 | Los Angeles Dodgers | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/25 | Los Angeles Dodgers | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/24 | Arizona Diamondbacks | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/23 | Arizona Diamondbacks | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/22 | Arizona Diamondbacks | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Spray Chart
Spray Rain
Spray Read
Jake McCarthy
Colorado Rockies · bats RHB
vs Pitcher Hand
Window
Avg EV
80.8 mph
Avg LA
10.5°
Hard-hit %
24%
Barrel %
15%
Outcomes (85 balls)
Home Run
1Triple
2Double
8Single
18Out
56Each dot is a real batted ball this player hit, pulled from Statcast tracking.
Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast + spray refreshed daily.