Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
James Wood
Washington Nationals · Miami Marlins vs Washington Nationals
MG Score
83
A-
Tonight's Matchup
100
Matchup
Smash spot
vs Lake Bachar · RHP · 88.2 mph avg
50 = avg vs tonight's starters · limited data
Statcast matchup
Batter
Pitcher
Exit Velo
96.1
98.9
Barrel%
33.3%
25.0%
Hard Hit%
58%
75%
xwOBA
.577
.556
xSLG
.955
.918
Whiff%
24%
41%
Chase%
22%
35%
Pitcher column = the rate this starter allows. Green = good for that player, red = poor (vs MLB average).
Career vs Lake Bachar: 2 PA · Low sample
AB
2
AVG
.000
OPS
.000
HR
0
H
0
K
1
Tonight's Projection
Statcast · last 30d
Exit Velo
96.1
Barrel%
33.3%
Hard Hit%
58%
Sweet Spot%
49%
xwOBA
0.577
xSLG
0.955
Recent Games
Last 5
80%
4/5 games
Last 10
80%
8/10 games
Last 20
75%
15/20 games
Last 30
76%
19/25 games
AVG
.371
OBP
.511
SLG
.657
OPS
1.168
HR
3
RBI
5
| Date | vs | AB | H | HR | RBI | BB | K | SB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6/1 | Miami Marlins | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 5/31 | San Diego Padres | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/30 | San Diego Padres | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 5/29 | San Diego Padres | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/27 | Cleveland Guardians | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 5/26 | Cleveland Guardians | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 5/25 | Cleveland Guardians | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/24 | Atlanta Braves | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| 5/23 | Atlanta Braves | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/22 | Atlanta Braves | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
Spray Chart
Spray Rain
Spray Read
James Wood
Washington Nationals · bats RHB
vs Pitcher Hand
Window
Avg EV
97.9 mph
Avg LA
12.9°
Hard-hit %
66%
Barrel %
32%
Outcomes (100 balls)
Home Run
13Triple
0Double
10Single
19Out
58Each dot is a real batted ball this player hit, pulled from Statcast tracking.
Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast + spray refreshed daily.