JARED JONES

Over K—@ —

POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS

Prop Board

K

no line

Win

no line

ER

no line

H

no line

JARED

JONES

Over K—

Pitch Arsenal · 30d

4-Seam45%98 mph

Slider30%90 mph

Changeup15%93 mph

Curveball10%86 mph

Matchup

VS CLE LINEUP

SEASON RATES BELOW

VS

ERA

3.80

WHIP

1.07

K%

31%

Statcast · vs MLB Avg

	Pitcher	MLB Avg
Whiff%	29%	25%
SwStr%	14.5%	11%
Chase%	32%	28%
xwOBA-a	.296	.315
Barrel%-a	8%	8%
HardHit%-a	33%	39%

Recent Form · Last 5

7.2

K/GM

4.9

IP/GM

2.19

ERA

0.69

WHIP

Strikeout Upside

31% season K rate

Contact Suppression

8% barrel · 33% hard-hit allowed

Park / Weather

Pitcher's park · air suppressing HR

Mongoose Model Projection

—

Model Prob

—

Fair Odds

—

EDGE —

Recent Form · K last 10 starts

0 of 10 starts over

Last 5: 2.19 ERA · 39% K

6

4

4

4

3

4

6

8

9

9

Season—

Home—

Last 5—

vs CLE—

Tonight's Park

HR

-17%

Hits

-2%

2B

+14%

3B

-25%

K

0%

vs league average · green helps the pitcher (K not inverted)

Tonight's Weather + Adjustment

Temp

73°

Wind

10 352°

Rain

0%

HR Adj

-0%

K Adj

0%

weather impact on projections · green helps the pitcher

odds as of 10:35 AM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game

Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast & pitch mix refreshed daily; season rates from game logs.