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MLB / Research
Jared Simpson
Washington Nationals · Philadelphia Phillies vs Washington Nationals · Pitcher
ERA 6.75 · WHIP 0.75 · K 29% · 3 starts
JARED SIMPSON
K—@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
Prop Board
K
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Win
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ER
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H
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JARED
SIMPSON
K—
Pitch Arsenal · 30d
Pitch-mix data not available.
Matchup
VS PHI LINEUP
SEASON RATES BELOW
MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE
MATCHUP SCORE
74
projected lineup
VS
ERA
6.75
WHIP
0.75
K%
29%
Statcast · vs MLB Avg
| Pitcher | MLB Avg | |
|---|---|---|
| Whiff% | 19% | 25% |
| SwStr% | 7.5% | 11% |
| Chase% | 29% | 28% |
| xwOBA-a | .325 | .315 |
| Barrel%-a | 14% | 8% |
| HardHit%-a | 29% | 39% |
Recent Form · Last 5
1.3
K/GM
1.3
IP/GM
6.75
ERA
0.75
WHIP
Strikeout Upside
29% season K rate
Contact Suppression
14% barrel · 29% hard-hit allowed
Park / Weather
Neutral park · air suppressing HR
Mongoose Model Projection
—
Model Prob
—
Fair Odds
—
EDGE —
Recent Form · K last 3 starts
0 of 3 starts over
Last 5: 6.75 ERA · 29% K
Season—
Home—
Last 5—
vs PHI—
Tonight's Park
HR
-3%
Hits
+4%
2B
-3%
3B
-8%
K
-11%
vs league average · green helps the pitcher (K not inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
77°
Wind
4 161°
Rain
0%
HR Adj
-10%
K Adj
0%
weather impact on projections · green helps the pitcher
odds as of 9:59 AM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game
Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast & pitch mix refreshed daily; season rates from game logs.