Mongoose Bets logo - Advanced MLB Analytics and Betting Intelligence platform
Mongoose Bets

Odds updated 11:17 AM ET

Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics

Jared Triolo

Pittsburgh Pirates · Pittsburgh Pirates vs Houston Astros

MG Score
44
D

Tonight's Matchup

vs Mike Burrows · RHP
ERA
4.32
WHIP
1.17
K%
16%
Velo
89.9
Whiff%
15%
xwOBA-a
.365
First career meeting vs Mike Burrows.

Tonight's Projection

Statcast · last 30d

Exit Velo
83.6
Barrel%
0.0%
Hard Hit%
34%
Sweet Spot%
29%
xwOBA
0.357
xSLG
0.451

Recent Games

Last 5
80%
4/5 games
Last 10
60%
6/10 games
Last 20
50%
10/20 games
Last 30
57%
17/30 games
AVG
.258
OBP
.258
SLG
.258
OPS
.516
HR
0
RBI
2
DatevsABHHRRBIBBKSB
5/31Minnesota Twins3101020
5/30Minnesota Twins5101011
5/29Minnesota Twins4000020
5/28Chicago Cubs4100010
5/26Chicago Cubs1100000
5/24Toronto Blue Jays4000020
5/23Toronto Blue Jays2000010
5/22Toronto Blue Jays0000000
5/21St. Louis Cardinals4100010
5/19St. Louis Cardinals4300000

Spray Chart

Spray Rain
200 ft300 ft400 ftLFCFRF
Spray Read
Jared Triolo
Pittsburgh Pirates · bats RHB
vs Pitcher Hand
Window
Avg EV
83.5 mph
Avg LA
2.7°
Hard-hit %
32%
Barrel %
9%
Outcomes (44 balls)
Home Run
0
Triple
0
Double
1
Single
12
Out
31
Each dot is a real batted ball this player hit, pulled from Statcast tracking.

Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast + spray refreshed daily.