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MLB / Research
Mongoose Bets
JARED YOUNG
Over 1+ HR@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
Prop Board
HR 1+
no line
Hits 1+
no line
2B 1+
no line
RBI 1+
no line
TB 2+
no line
Jared Young
JARED
YOUNG
Over 1+ HR
Statcast Score
54
Grade C-
Exit Velo87.7Barrel%6%Hard Hit%38%xwOBA.314Sweet Spot%36%Whiff%19%Chase%30%
Matchup
VS Brandon Young · RHP
88.9 MPH AVG FASTBALL
MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE
39
Bad
VS
ERA
3.96
WHIP
1.40
K%
19%
Statcast Matchup
 Last 10Allows
Exit Velo87.787.0
Barrel%6%13%
Hard Hit%38%32%
xwOBA.314.381
xSLG.428.564
Whiff%19%20%
Chase%30%36%
Hot Streak
No recent logs
Elite Contact
87.7 avg EV · 5.8% barrel · 38% hard-hit
Park / Weather
Neutral park · weather suppressing HR
Mongoose Model Projection
Model Prob
Fair Odds
EDGE —
Recent Form · HR last 0 games
No recent games
Last 10:  AVG  ·  0 HR  ·  0 RBI  ·  OPS
HR 0.5
Season
Home
Last 10
vs Young
Tonight's Park
HR
+3%
Hits
-9%
2B
-11%
3B
-25%
K
+4%
vs league average · green helps the hitter (K inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
65°
Wind
9 150°
Rain
0%
HR Adj
-3%
K Adj
+1%
weather impact on projections · green helps the hitter
odds as of 8:01 AM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game