Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Jarren Duran
Boston Red Sox · Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox
MG Score
67
B-
Tonight's Matchup
vs Shane Baz · RHP
ERA
4.01
WHIP
1.22
K%
22%
Velo
90.3
Whiff%
21%
xwOBA-a
.358
Career vs Shane Baz: 15 PA · Low sample
AB
14
AVG
.142
OPS
.348
HR
0
H
2
K
3
Tonight's Projection
Statcast · last 30d
Exit Velo
90.7
Barrel%
18.1%
Hard Hit%
42%
Sweet Spot%
36%
xwOBA
0.436
xSLG
0.664
Recent Games
Last 5
100%
5/5 games
Last 10
90%
9/10 games
Last 20
70%
14/20 games
Last 30
65%
15/23 games
AVG
.326
OBP
.367
SLG
.696
OPS
1.063
HR
5
RBI
11
| Date | vs | AB | H | HR | RBI | BB | K | SB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/31 | Cleveland Guardians | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/30 | Cleveland Guardians | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 5/29 | Cleveland Guardians | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 5/28 | Atlanta Braves | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 5/27 | Atlanta Braves | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/26 | Atlanta Braves | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/24 | Minnesota Twins | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/23 | Minnesota Twins | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 5/22 | Minnesota Twins | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 5/20 | Kansas City Royals | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Spray Chart
Spray Rain
Spray Read
Jarren Duran
Boston Red Sox · bats RHB
vs Pitcher Hand
Window
Avg EV
90.1 mph
Avg LA
11.9°
Hard-hit %
42%
Barrel %
14%
Outcomes (100 balls)
Home Run
5Triple
0Double
6Single
16Out
73Each dot is a real batted ball this player hit, pulled from Statcast tracking.
Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast + spray refreshed daily.