Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Jase Bowen
San Diego Padres · San Diego Padres vs Philadelphia Phillies · in lineup
Tonight's Park · Citizens Bank Park
Big HR parkHR
+12%
Hits
-1%
2B
-4%
3B
+1%
K
+2%
vs league average · green helps the hitter (K inverted)
Tonight's Weather · clear sky
Wind helping HRHR weather
+8%
Temp
83°
Wind
Calm
Rain
0%
HR/Temp/Wind colored for the hitter · Rain = game-delay risk
Tonight's Projection
Statcast · last 30d
Exit Velo
68.7
Barrel%
0.0%
Hard Hit%
0%
Sweet Spot%
100%
xwOBA
0.861
xSLG
0.996
Recent Games
Last 5
100%
1/1 games
Last 10
100%
1/1 games
Last 20
100%
1/1 games
Last 30
100%
1/1 games
AVG
.250
OBP
.250
SLG
.250
OPS
.500
HR
0
RBI
0
| Date | vs | AB | H | HR | RBI | BB | K | SB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6/2 | Philadelphia Phillies | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Spray Chart
Spray Rain
Spray Read
Jase Bowen
San Diego Padres · bats RHB
vs Pitcher Hand
Window
Avg EV
70.4 mph
Avg LA
12.2°
Hard-hit %
0%
Barrel %
0%
Outcomes (100 balls)
Home Run
0Triple
0Double
0Single
5Out
95Spray model based on this player's aggregate Statcast profile. Per-ball pickup coming as the data pipeline matures.
Advanced Statcast
Data Period: 6/2/2026 - 6/2/2026
Games: 1
Statcast Performance Profile
Advanced metrics from Statcast data (last 10 days)
Overall Grade
D+Performance Score
40Exit Velo
68.7 mph
Average exit velocity off the bat
Hard Hit%
0.0%
Percentage of balls hit 95+ mph
Chase%
63.6%
Percentage of swings at pitches outside the zone
xwOBA
0.861
Expected weighted on-base average
Sweet Spot%
100.0%
Percentage of balls hit at ideal launch angle
Performance Insights
Strengths: xwOBA, Sweet Spot%
Areas for Improvement: Exit Velo, Hard Hit%
How to Read This Chart
Excellent (75-100)
Good (60-74)
Average (45-59)
Below Average (0-44)
The larger the shape, the better the overall performance. Each point represents a different advanced metric.
Additional Metrics
Max Exit Velo
68.7 mph
Launch Angle
23.0°
xBA
0.957
xSLG
0.996
Batted Ball Profile
Ground Ball%
N/A
Fly Ball%
N/A
Line Drive%
100.0%
Pop Up%
N/A
Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast + spray refreshed daily.