Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB + NFL + CFB + WNBA + PGA Analytics
JAZZ CHISHOLM
Over 1+ HR—@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
Prop Board
HR 1+
no line
Hits 1+
no line
2B 1+
no line
RBI 1+
no line
TB 2+
no line
JAZZ
CHISHOLM
Over 1+ HR—
Statcast Score
57
Grade C
Matchup
VS Walker Buehler · RHP
91.0 MPH AVG FASTBALL
MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE
MATCHUP SCORE
46
VS
ERA
4.74
WHIP
1.32
K%
17%
Statcast Matchup
| Last 10 | Allows | |
|---|---|---|
| Exit Velo | 88.8 | 86.6 |
| Barrel% | 9% | 9% |
| Hard Hit% | 45% | 28% |
| xwOBA | .365 | .287 |
| xSLG | .521 | .417 |
| Whiff% | 26% | 14% |
| Chase% | 28% | 31% |
Hot Streak
No recent logs
Elite Contact
88.8 avg EV · 9.4% barrel · 45% hard-hit
Park / Weather
HR-friendly park · weather suppressing HR
Mongoose Model Projection
—
Model Prob
—
Fair Odds
—
EDGE —
Recent Form · HR last 0 games
No recent games
Last 10: — AVG · 0 HR · 0 RBI · — OPS
HR 0.5
Season—
Home—
Last 10—
vs Buehler2
Tonight's Park
HR
+5%
Hits
-3%
2B
-4%
3B
-45%
K
+1%
vs league average · green helps the hitter (K inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
76°
Wind
7 298°
Rain
0%
HR Adj
-0%
K Adj
0%
weather impact on projections · green helps the hitter
odds as of 10:15 PM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game