Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB + NFL + CFB + WNBA + PGA Analytics
Jeffrey Springs
Athletics · Baltimore Orioles vs Athletics · confirmed starter · Pitcher
ERA 9.00 · WHIP 1.81 · K 15% · 11 starts
JEFFREY SPRINGS
K—@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
Prop Board
K
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Win
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ER
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H
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JEFFREY
SPRINGS
K—
Pitch Arsenal · 30d
4-Seam44%91 mph
Changeup32%79 mph
Slider19%85 mph
Matchup
VS BAL LINEUP
SEASON RATES BELOW
VS
ERA
9.00
WHIP
1.81
K%
15%
Statcast · vs MLB Avg
| Pitcher | MLB Avg | |
|---|---|---|
| Whiff% | 17% | 25% |
| SwStr% | 7.3% | 11% |
| Chase% | 28% | 28% |
| xwOBA-a | .317 | .315 |
| Barrel%-a | 12% | 8% |
| HardHit%-a | 27% | 39% |
Recent Form · Last 5
2.4
K/GM
4.1
IP/GM
8.41
ERA
1.87
WHIP
Strikeout Upside
15% season K rate
Contact Suppression
12% barrel · 27% hard-hit allowed
Park / Weather
HR-friendly park · air boosting HR
Mongoose Model Projection
—
Model Prob
—
Fair Odds
—
EDGE —
Recent Form · K last 11 starts
0 of 11 starts over
Last 5: 8.41 ERA · 12% K
Season—
Home—
Last 5—
vs BAL—
Tonight's Park
HR
+4%
Hits
+3%
2B
+5%
3B
0%
K
-2%
vs league average · green helps the pitcher (K not inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
78°
Wind
4 244°
Rain
0%
HR Adj
+8%
K Adj
-2%
weather impact on projections · green helps the pitcher
odds as of 5:04 PM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game
Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast & pitch mix refreshed daily; season rates from game logs.