Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB + NFL + CFB + WNBA + PGA Analytics

MLB / Research
Mongoose Bets
JEREMIAH JACKSON
Over 1+ HR—@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
Prop Board
HR 1+
no line
Hits 1+
no line
2B 1+
no line
RBI 1+
no line
TB 2+
no line
Jeremiah Jackson
JEREMIAH
JACKSON
Over 1+ HR—
Statcast Score
50
Grade —
Exit Velo88.9Barrel%0%Hard Hit%20%xwOBA.326Sweet Spot%40%Whiff%43%Chase%47%
Matchup
VS — · —
MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE
50
Average
VS
Rookie / call-up — no 2026 MLB starts logged yet. Season ERA / WHIP / K% will populate after this pitcher's next outing.
Statcast Matchup
No recent Statcast on file for this pitcher yet.
Hot Streak
No recent logs
Elite Contact
88.9 avg EV · 0.0% barrel · 20% hard-hit
Park / Weather
Neutral park · weather suppressing HR
Mongoose Model Projection
—
Model Prob
—
Fair Odds
—
EDGE —
Recent Form · HR last 0 games
No recent games
Last 10:  — AVG  ·  0 HR  ·  0 RBI  ·  — OPS
HR 0.5
Season—
Home—
Last 10—
vs Pitcher—
Tonight's Park
HR
+3%
Hits
-9%
2B
-11%
3B
-25%
K
+4%
vs league average · green helps the hitter (K inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
71°
Wind
5 151°
Rain
0%
HR Adj
-5%
K Adj
0%
weather impact on projections · green helps the hitter
odds as of 12:14 PM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game