Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
JESÚS SÁNCHEZ
Over 1+ HR—@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
Prop Board
HR 1+
no line
Hits 1+
no line
2B 1+
no line
RBI 1+
no line
TB 2+
no line
JESÚS
SÁNCHEZ
Over 1+ HR—
Statcast Score
46
Grade D
Matchup
VS Cristian Javier · RHP
88.9 MPH AVG FASTBALL
MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE
MATCHUP SCORE
83
VS
ERA
7.17
WHIP
1.83
K%
21%
Statcast Matchup
| Last 10 | Allows | |
|---|---|---|
| Exit Velo | 68.8 | 92.2 |
| Barrel% | 0% | 17% |
| Hard Hit% | 0% | 43% |
| xwOBA | .083 | .422 |
| xSLG | .092 | .624 |
| Whiff% | 33% | 33% |
| Chase% | 33% | 37% |
Hot Streak
No recent logs
Elite Contact
68.8 avg EV · 0.0% barrel · 0% hard-hit
Park / Weather
HR-friendly park · weather boosting HR
Mongoose Model Projection
—
Model Prob
—
Fair Odds
—
EDGE —
Recent Form · HR last 0 games
No recent games
Last 10: — AVG · 0 HR · 0 RBI · — OPS
HR 0.5
Season—
Home—
Last 10—
vs Javier0
Tonight's Park
HR
+4%
Hits
0%
2B
-4%
3B
-14%
K
0%
vs league average · green helps the hitter (K inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
94°
Wind
8 128°
Rain
0%
HR Adj
+8%
K Adj
-3%
weather impact on projections · green helps the hitter
odds as of 8:29 PM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game