Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Jhostynxon Garcia
Pittsburgh Pirates · Pittsburgh Pirates vs Houston Astros · in lineup
Tonight's Matchup
23
Matchup
Avoid
vs Spencer Arrighetti · RHP · 84.2 mph avg
50 = avg vs tonight's starters · limited data
ERA
0.86
WHIP
1.05
K%
18%
Statcast matchup
Batter
Pitcher
Exit Velo
83.4
91.0
Barrel%
10.5%
5.9%
Hard Hit%
37%
29%
xwOBA
.353
.299
xSLG
.457
.460
Whiff%
31%
3%
Chase%
48%
25%
Pitcher column = the rate this starter allows. Green = good for that player, red = poor (vs MLB average).
First career meeting vs Spencer Arrighetti.
Tonight's Park · Daikin Park
HR-friendlyHR
+4%
Hits
0%
2B
-4%
3B
-14%
K
0%
vs league average · green helps the hitter (K inverted)
Tonight's Weather · overcast clouds
Wind killing HRHR weather
-14%
Temp
76°
Wind
7 in
Rain
36%
HR/Temp/Wind colored for the hitter · Rain = game-delay risk
Tonight's Projection
Statcast · last 30d
Exit Velo
83.4
Barrel%
10.5%
Hard Hit%
37%
Sweet Spot%
37%
xwOBA
0.353
xSLG
0.457
Recent Games
Last 5
20%
1/5 games
Last 10
50%
5/10 games
Last 20
36%
5/14 games
Last 30
36%
5/14 games
AVG
.214
OBP
.241
SLG
.214
OPS
.456
HR
0
RBI
1
| Date | vs | AB | H | HR | RBI | BB | K | SB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/31 | Minnesota Twins | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/29 | Minnesota Twins | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 5/28 | Chicago Cubs | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/26 | Chicago Cubs | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/25 | Chicago Cubs | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/24 | Toronto Blue Jays | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/23 | Toronto Blue Jays | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/22 | Toronto Blue Jays | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/20 | St. Louis Cardinals | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 5/19 | St. Louis Cardinals | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Spray Chart
Spray Rain
Spray Read
Jhostynxon Garcia
Pittsburgh Pirates · bats RHB
vs Pitcher Hand
Window
Avg EV
84.7 mph
Avg LA
1.2°
Hard-hit %
33%
Barrel %
0%
Outcomes (6 balls)
Home Run
0Triple
0Double
0Single
1Out
5Each dot is a real batted ball this player hit, pulled from Statcast tracking.
Advanced Statcast
Data Period: 5/24/2026 - 5/29/2026
Games: 5
Statcast Performance Profile
Advanced metrics from Statcast data (last 10 days)
Overall Grade
FPerformance Score
28Exit Velo
88.8 mph
Average exit velocity off the bat
Hard Hit%
50.0%
Percentage of balls hit 95+ mph
Chase%
55.6%
Percentage of swings at pitches outside the zone
xwOBA
0.257
Expected weighted on-base average
Sweet Spot%
25.0%
Percentage of balls hit at ideal launch angle
Performance Insights
Strengths: Hard Hit%
Areas for Improvement: Chase%, xwOBA
How to Read This Chart
Excellent (75-100)
Good (60-74)
Average (45-59)
Below Average (0-44)
The larger the shape, the better the overall performance. Each point represents a different advanced metric.
Additional Metrics
Max Exit Velo
105.6 mph
Launch Angle
6.9°
xBA
0.225
xSLG
0.374
Batted Ball Profile
Ground Ball%
62.5%
Fly Ball%
25.0%
Line Drive%
12.5%
Pop Up%
N/A
Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast + spray refreshed daily.