Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
JJ Bleday
Cincinnati Reds · Kansas City Royals vs Cincinnati Reds
MG Score
72
B
Tonight's Matchup
71
Matchup
Plus matchup
vs Noah Cameron · LHP · 85.6 mph avg
50 = avg vs tonight's starters
ERA
4.00
WHIP
1.26
K%
22%
Statcast matchup
Batter
Pitcher
Exit Velo
90.7
87.0
Barrel%
19.2%
6.7%
Hard Hit%
50%
47%
xwOBA
.447
.321
xSLG
.686
.445
Whiff%
26%
19%
Chase%
22%
27%
Pitcher column = the rate this starter allows. Green = good for that player, red = poor (vs MLB average).
First career meeting vs Noah Cameron.
Tonight's Projection
Statcast · last 30d
Exit Velo
90.7
Barrel%
19.2%
Hard Hit%
50%
Sweet Spot%
38%
xwOBA
0.447
xSLG
0.686
Recent Games
Last 5
80%
4/5 games
Last 10
80%
8/10 games
Last 20
65%
13/20 games
Last 30
70%
16/23 games
AVG
.359
OBP
.432
SLG
.744
OPS
1.175
HR
4
RBI
8
| Date | vs | AB | H | HR | RBI | BB | K | SB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6/1 | Kansas City Royals | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 5/31 | Atlanta Braves | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/30 | Atlanta Braves | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/29 | Atlanta Braves | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/27 | New York Mets | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/26 | New York Mets | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 5/25 | New York Mets | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 5/23 | St. Louis Cardinals | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/20 | Philadelphia Phillies | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/19 | Philadelphia Phillies | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Spray Chart
Spray Rain
Spray Read
JJ Bleday
Cincinnati Reds · bats RHB
vs Pitcher Hand
Window
Avg EV
92.9 mph
Avg LA
22.7°
Hard-hit %
54%
Barrel %
32%
Outcomes (57 balls)
Home Run
8Triple
1Double
7Single
6Out
35Each dot is a real batted ball this player hit, pulled from Statcast tracking.
Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast + spray refreshed daily.