Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Joc Pederson
Texas Rangers · Texas Rangers vs St. Louis Cardinals
MG Score
69
B-
Tonight's Matchup
vs Dustin May · RHP
ERA
3.77
WHIP
1.03
K%
23%
Velo
91.3
Whiff%
33%
xwOBA-a
.286
Career vs Dustin May: 4 PA · Low sample
AB
3
AVG
.333
OPS
1.167
HR
0
H
1
K
1
Tonight's Projection
Statcast · last 30d
Exit Velo
90.4
Barrel%
17.0%
Hard Hit%
43%
Sweet Spot%
38%
xwOBA
0.420
xSLG
0.596
Recent Games
Last 5
60%
3/5 games
Last 10
60%
6/10 games
Last 20
50%
10/20 games
Last 30
52%
12/23 games
AVG
.242
OBP
.342
SLG
.697
OPS
1.039
HR
5
RBI
8
| Date | vs | AB | H | HR | RBI | BB | K | SB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6/1 | St. Louis Cardinals | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/31 | Kansas City Royals | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/30 | Kansas City Royals | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 5/29 | Kansas City Royals | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 5/28 | Houston Astros | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/27 | Houston Astros | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/26 | Houston Astros | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/25 | Houston Astros | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/24 | Los Angeles Angels | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/23 | Los Angeles Angels | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Spray Chart
Spray Rain
Spray Read
Joc Pederson
Texas Rangers · bats RHB
vs Pitcher Hand
Window
Avg EV
90.5 mph
Avg LA
14.0°
Hard-hit %
44%
Barrel %
14%
Outcomes (86 balls)
Home Run
3Triple
0Double
3Single
17Out
63Each dot is a real batted ball this player hit, pulled from Statcast tracking.
Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast + spray refreshed daily.