Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB + NFL + CFB + WNBA + PGA Analytics
JOHN PECK
Over 1+ HR—@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
Prop Board
HR 1+
no line
Hits 1+
no line
2B 1+
no line
RBI 1+
no line
TB 2+
no line
JOHN
PECK
Over 1+ HR—
Statcast Score
50
Grade —
Matchup
VS Dean Kremer · RHP
87.1 MPH AVG FASTBALL
MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE
MATCHUP SCORE
41
VS
ERA
5.92
WHIP
1.34
K%
21%
Statcast Matchup
| Last 10 | Allows | |
|---|---|---|
| Exit Velo | 81.9 | 88.5 |
| Barrel% | 0% | 8% |
| Hard Hit% | 50% | 38% |
| xwOBA | .264 | .341 |
| xSLG | .440 | .512 |
| Whiff% | 0% | 24% |
| Chase% | 40% | 29% |
Hot Streak
No recent logs
Elite Contact
81.9 avg EV · 0.0% barrel · 50% hard-hit
Park / Weather
HR-friendly park · weather boosting HR
Mongoose Model Projection
—
Model Prob
—
Fair Odds
—
EDGE —
Recent Form · HR last 0 games
No recent games
Last 10: — AVG · 0 HR · 0 RBI · — OPS
HR 0.5
Season—
Home—
Last 10—
vs Kremer0
Tonight's Park
HR
+7%
Hits
+1%
2B
+10%
3B
+10%
K
+7%
vs league average · green helps the hitter (K inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
76°
Wind
6 4°
Rain
100%
HR Adj
+10%
K Adj
-6%
weather impact on projections · green helps the hitter
odds as of 12:05 PM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game