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MLB / Research
Mongoose Bets
JOHN RAVE
Over 1+ HR—@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
Prop Board
HR 1+
no line
Hits 1+
no line
2B 1+
no line
RBI 1+
no line
TB 2+
no line
John Rave
JOHN
RAVE
Over 1+ HR—
Statcast Score
56
Grade C
Exit Velo86.4Barrel%9%Hard Hit%41%xwOBA.357Sweet Spot%34%Whiff%21%Chase%24%
Matchup
VS Bubba Chandler · RHP
95.1 MPH AVG FASTBALL
MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE
53
Average
VS
ERA
3.63
WHIP
1.25
K%
22%
Statcast Matchup
 Last 10Allows
Exit Velo86.490.6
Barrel%9%18%
Hard Hit%41%46%
xwOBA.357.395
xSLG.506.608
Whiff%21%16%
Chase%24%24%
Hot Streak
No recent logs
Elite Contact
86.4 avg EV · 9.1% barrel · 41% hard-hit
Park / Weather
Pitcher's park · weather suppressing HR
Mongoose Model Projection
—
Model Prob
—
Fair Odds
—
EDGE —
Recent Form · HR last 0 games
No recent games
Last 10:  — AVG  ·  0 HR  ·  0 RBI  ·  — OPS
HR 0.5
Season—
Home—
Last 10—
vs Chandler—
Tonight's Park
HR
-20%
Hits
+1%
2B
+12%
3B
-23%
K
-4%
vs league average · green helps the hitter (K inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
69°
Wind
8 301°
Rain
86%
HR Adj
-0%
K Adj
-0%
weather impact on projections · green helps the hitter
odds as of 7:51 AM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game