Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
JONAH BRIDE
Over 1+ HR—@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
Prop Board
HR 1+
no line
Hits 1+
no line
2B 1+
no line
RBI 1+
no line
TB 2+
no line
JONAH
BRIDE
Over 1+ HR—
Statcast Score
50
Grade —
Matchup
VS Reid Detmers · LHP
87.4 MPH AVG FASTBALL
MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE
MATCHUP SCORE
58
VS
ERA
3.93
WHIP
1.05
K%
28%
Statcast Matchup
| Last 10 | Allows | |
|---|---|---|
| Exit Velo | 95.8 | 91.6 |
| Barrel% | 0% | 15% |
| Hard Hit% | 50% | 43% |
| xwOBA | .285 | .462 |
| xSLG | .468 | .747 |
| Whiff% | 33% | 27% |
| Chase% | 38% | 32% |
Hot Streak
No recent logs
Elite Contact
95.8 avg EV · 0.0% barrel · 50% hard-hit
Park / Weather
Big HR park · weather boosting HR
Mongoose Model Projection
—
Model Prob
—
Fair Odds
—
EDGE —
Recent Form · HR last 0 games
No recent games
Last 10: — AVG · 0 HR · 0 RBI · — OPS
HR 0.5
Season—
Home—
Last 10—
vs Detmers0
Tonight's Park
HR
+13%
Hits
-2%
2B
-13%
3B
-3%
K
+5%
vs league average · green helps the hitter (K inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
79°
Wind
9 216°
Rain
0%
HR Adj
+12%
K Adj
-2%
weather impact on projections · green helps the hitter
odds as of 8:24 AM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game