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MLB / Research
Jonah Tong
New York Mets · Baltimore Orioles vs New York Mets · confirmed starter · Pitcher
ERA 4.80 · WHIP 1.33 · K 21% · 4 starts
JONAH TONG
K—@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
Prop Board
K
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Win
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ER
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H
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JONAH
TONG
K—
Pitch Arsenal · 30d
Changeup38%88 mph
4-Seam31%95 mph
Cutter23%91 mph
Matchup
VS BAL LINEUP
SEASON RATES BELOW
MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE
MATCHUP SCORE
49
VS
ERA
4.80
WHIP
1.33
K%
21%
Statcast · vs MLB Avg
| Pitcher | MLB Avg | |
|---|---|---|
| Whiff% | 36% | 25% |
| SwStr% | 18.4% | 11% |
| Chase% | 26% | 28% |
| xwOBA-a | .354 | .315 |
| Barrel%-a | 17% | 8% |
| HardHit%-a | 33% | 39% |
Recent Form · Last 5
3.5
K/GM
3.8
IP/GM
4.80
ERA
1.33
WHIP
Strikeout Upside
21% season K rate
Contact Suppression
17% barrel · 33% hard-hit allowed
Park / Weather
Neutral park · air suppressing HR
Mongoose Model Projection
—
Model Prob
—
Fair Odds
—
EDGE —
Recent Form · K last 4 starts
0 of 4 starts over
Last 5: 4.80 ERA · 21% K
Season—
Home—
Last 5—
vs BAL—
Tonight's Park
HR
+3%
Hits
-9%
2B
-11%
3B
-25%
K
+4%
vs league average · green helps the pitcher (K not inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
74°
Wind
9 26°
Rain
0%
HR Adj
-14%
K Adj
+2%
weather impact on projections · green helps the pitcher
odds as of 3:16 AM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game
Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast & pitch mix refreshed daily; season rates from game logs.