Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB + NFL + CFB + WNBA + PGA Analytics
Jonathan Pintaro
New York Mets · New York Mets vs Washington Nationals · Pitcher
ERA 5.23 · WHIP 1.45 · K 24% · 10 starts

JONATHAN PINTARO
K—@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
Prop Board
K
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Win
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ER
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H
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JONATHAN
PINTARO
K—
Pitch Arsenal · 30d
Cutter48%91 mph
4-Seam23%95 mph
Sinker17%95 mph
Matchup
VS WSH LINEUP
SEASON RATES BELOW
MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE
MATCHUP SCORE
56
projected lineup
VS
ERA
5.23
WHIP
1.45
K%
24%
Statcast · vs MLB Avg
| Pitcher | MLB Avg | |
|---|---|---|
| Whiff% | 21% | 25% |
| SwStr% | 10.8% | 11% |
| Chase% | 34% | 28% |
| xwOBA-a | .350 | .315 |
| Barrel%-a | 7% | 8% |
| HardHit%-a | 39% | 39% |
Recent Form · Last 5
0.8
K/GM
0.9
IP/GM
8.31
ERA
2.08
WHIP
Strikeout Upside
24% season K rate
Contact Suppression
7% barrel · 39% hard-hit allowed
Park / Weather
Neutral park · air boosting HR
Mongoose Model Projection
—
Model Prob
—
Fair Odds
—
EDGE —
Recent Form · K last 10 starts
0 of 10 starts over
Last 5: 8.31 ERA · 18% K
Season—
Home—
Last 5—
vs WSH—
Tonight's Park
HR
-3%
Hits
+4%
2B
-3%
3B
-8%
K
-11%
vs league average · green helps the pitcher (K not inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
65°
Wind
10 344°
Rain
0%
HR Adj
+1%
K Adj
+1%
weather impact on projections · green helps the pitcher
odds as of 10:10 AM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game
Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast & pitch mix refreshed daily; season rates from game logs.