Mongoose Bets logo - Advanced MLB Analytics and Betting Intelligence platform
Mongoose Bets

Odds updated 2:23 PM ET

Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics

Jorge Barrosa

Arizona Diamondbacks · Los Angeles Dodgers vs Arizona Diamondbacks · in lineup

MG Score
22
F

Tonight's Projection

Statcast · last 30d

Exit Velo
86.3
Barrel%
0.0%
Hard Hit%
23%
Sweet Spot%
31%
xwOBA
0.134
xSLG
0.181

Recent Games

Last 5
0%
0/5 games
Last 10
0%
0/10 games
Last 20
10%
2/20 games
Last 30
17%
5/30 games
AVG
.000
OBP
.125
SLG
.000
OPS
.125
HR
0
RBI
0
DatevsABHHRRBIBBKSB
5/27San Francisco Giants1000000
5/26San Francisco Giants0000100
5/25San Francisco Giants0000000
5/24Colorado Rockies1000010
5/22Colorado Rockies1000010
5/20San Francisco Giants3000010
5/18San Francisco Giants1000010
5/17Colorado Rockies0000000
5/16Colorado Rockies0000000
5/13Texas Rangers0000000

Spray Chart

Spray Rain
200 ft300 ft400 ftLFCFRF
Spray Read
Jorge Barrosa
Arizona Diamondbacks · bats RHB
vs Pitcher Hand
Window
Avg EV
81.8 mph
Avg LA
10.8°
Hard-hit %
20%
Barrel %
9%
Outcomes (55 balls)
Home Run
1
Triple
1
Double
9
Single
4
Out
40
Each dot is a real batted ball this player hit, pulled from Statcast tracking.

Advanced Statcast

Data Period: 5/22/2026 - 5/27/2026
Games: 4

Statcast Performance Profile

Advanced metrics from Statcast data (last 10 days)

Overall Grade
F
Performance Score
1
Exit VeloHard Hit%Chase%xwOBASweet Spot%
Exit Velo
71.0 mph

Average exit velocity off the bat

Hard Hit%
0.0%

Percentage of balls hit 95+ mph

Chase%
38.5%

Percentage of swings at pitches outside the zone

xwOBA
0.010

Expected weighted on-base average

Sweet Spot%
0.0%

Percentage of balls hit at ideal launch angle

Performance Insights

Strengths: No standout metrics

Areas for Improvement: Exit Velo, Hard Hit%

How to Read This Chart
Excellent (75-100)
Good (60-74)
Average (45-59)
Below Average (0-44)

The larger the shape, the better the overall performance. Each point represents a different advanced metric.

Additional Metrics

Max Exit Velo
71.0 mph
Launch Angle
61.0°
xBA
0.009
xSLG
0.013

Batted Ball Profile

Ground Ball%
N/A
Fly Ball%
N/A
Line Drive%
N/A
Pop Up%
100.0%

Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast + spray refreshed daily.