Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB + NFL + CFB + WNBA + PGA Analytics
JOSE ALTUVE
Over 1+ HR—@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
Prop Board
HR 1+
no line
Hits 1+
no line
2B 1+
no line
RBI 1+
no line
TB 2+
no line
JOSE
ALTUVE
Over 1+ HR—
Statcast Score
37
Grade F
Matchup
VS Merrill Kelly · RHP
89.4 MPH AVG FASTBALL
MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE
MATCHUP SCORE
23
VS
ERA
4.09
WHIP
1.36
K%
18%
Statcast Matchup
| Last 10 | Allows | |
|---|---|---|
| Exit Velo | 84.4 | 87.7 |
| Barrel% | 4% | 7% |
| Hard Hit% | 34% | 32% |
| xwOBA | .278 | .374 |
| xSLG | .387 | .536 |
| Whiff% | 20% | 21% |
| Chase% | 36% | 35% |
Hot Streak
No recent logs
Elite Contact
84.4 avg EV · 4.4% barrel · 34% hard-hit
Park / Weather
HR-friendly park · weather boosting HR
Mongoose Model Projection
—
Model Prob
—
Fair Odds
—
EDGE —
Recent Form · HR last 0 games
No recent games
Last 10: — AVG · 0 HR · 0 RBI · — OPS
HR 0.5
Season—
Home—
Last 10—
vs Kelly0
Tonight's Park
HR
+4%
Hits
0%
2B
-4%
3B
-14%
K
0%
vs league average · green helps the hitter (K inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
90°
Wind
15 130°
Rain
0%
HR Adj
+2%
K Adj
-3%
weather impact on projections · green helps the hitter
odds as of 3:52 AM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game