Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB + NFL + CFB + WNBA + PGA Analytics
JOSÉ BARRERO
Over 1+ HR—@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
Prop Board
HR 1+
no line
Hits 1+
no line
2B 1+
no line
RBI 1+
no line
TB 2+
no line
JOSÉ
BARRERO
Over 1+ HR—
Statcast Score
50
Grade —
Matchup
VS Elmer Rodríguez · RHP
91.0 MPH AVG FASTBALL
MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE
MATCHUP SCORE
25
VS
ERA
5.40
WHIP
1.57
K%
17%
Statcast Matchup
| Last 10 | Allows | |
|---|---|---|
| Exit Velo | 90.6 | 88.8 |
| Barrel% | 0% | 20% |
| Hard Hit% | 0% | 40% |
| xwOBA | .155 | .371 |
| xSLG | .199 | .520 |
| Whiff% | 46% | 37% |
| Chase% | 64% | 23% |
Hot Streak
No recent logs
Elite Contact
90.6 avg EV · 0.0% barrel · 0% hard-hit
Park / Weather
Big HR park · weather suppressing HR
Mongoose Model Projection
—
Model Prob
—
Fair Odds
—
EDGE —
Recent Form · HR last 0 games
No recent games
Last 10: — AVG · 0 HR · 0 RBI · — OPS
HR 0.5
Season—
Home—
Last 10—
vs Rodríguez—
Tonight's Park
HR
+25%
Hits
-6%
2B
-8%
3B
-52%
K
+2%
vs league average · green helps the hitter (K inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
62°
Wind
13 46°
Rain
100%
HR Adj
-7%
K Adj
-1%
weather impact on projections · green helps the hitter
odds as of 9:54 AM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game