Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB + NFL + CFB + WNBA + PGA Analytics
Jose Cabrera
Arizona Diamondbacks · Arizona Diamondbacks vs Kansas City Royals · Pitcher
ERA 4.88 · WHIP 1.33 · K 16% · 6 starts
JOSE CABRERA
K—@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
Prop Board
K
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Win
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ER
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H
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JOSE
CABRERA
K—
Pitch Arsenal · 30d
4-Seam21%94 mph
Matchup
VS KC LINEUP
SEASON RATES BELOW
MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE
MATCHUP SCORE
52
projected lineup
VS
ERA
4.88
WHIP
1.33
K%
16%
Statcast · vs MLB Avg
| Pitcher | MLB Avg | |
|---|---|---|
| Whiff% | 12% | 25% |
| SwStr% | 5.3% | 11% |
| Chase% | 28% | 28% |
| xwOBA-a | .309 | .315 |
| Barrel%-a | 12% | 8% |
| HardHit%-a | 35% | 39% |
Recent Form · Last 5
2.8
K/GM
3.8
IP/GM
6.16
ERA
1.53
WHIP
Strikeout Upside
16% season K rate
Contact Suppression
12% barrel · 35% hard-hit allowed
Park / Weather
Pitcher's park · air boosting HR
Mongoose Model Projection
—
Model Prob
—
Fair Odds
—
EDGE —
Recent Form · K last 6 starts
0 of 6 starts over
Last 5: 6.16 ERA · 16% K
Season—
Home—
Last 5—
vs KC—
Tonight's Park
HR
-15%
Hits
+5%
2B
+16%
3B
+76%
K
-12%
vs league average · green helps the pitcher (K not inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
82°
Wind
10 158°
Rain
0%
HR Adj
+12%
K Adj
-2%
weather impact on projections · green helps the pitcher
odds as of 9:03 AM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game
Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast & pitch mix refreshed daily; season rates from game logs.