Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB + NFL + CFB + WNBA + PGA Analytics
Jose Quintana
Colorado Rockies · Colorado Rockies vs Chicago White Sox · Pitcher
ERA 5.40 · WHIP 1.51 · K 11% · 10 starts

JOSE QUINTANA
K—@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
Prop Board
K
no line
Win
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ER
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H
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JOSE
QUINTANA
K—
Pitch Arsenal · 30d
4-Seam28%90 mph
Changeup19%85 mph
Curveball18%79 mph
Sinker18%90 mph
Slurve16%80 mph
Matchup
VS CHW LINEUP
SEASON RATES BELOW
MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE
MATCHUP SCORE
1
projected lineup
VS
ERA
5.40
WHIP
1.51
K%
11%
Statcast · vs MLB Avg
| Pitcher | MLB Avg | |
|---|---|---|
| Whiff% | 14% | 25% |
| SwStr% | 7.1% | 11% |
| Chase% | 34% | 28% |
| xwOBA-a | .576 | .315 |
| Barrel%-a | 33% | 8% |
| HardHit%-a | 47% | 39% |
Recent Form · Last 5
2.0
K/GM
4.1
IP/GM
6.97
ERA
1.69
WHIP
Strikeout Upside
11% season K rate
Contact Suppression
33% barrel · 47% hard-hit allowed
Park / Weather
HR-suppressing park · air suppressing HR
Mongoose Model Projection
—
Model Prob
—
Fair Odds
—
EDGE —
Recent Form · K last 10 starts
0 of 10 starts over
Last 5: 6.97 ERA · 11% K
Season—
Home—
Last 5—
vs CHW—
Tonight's Park
HR
-5%
Hits
-2%
2B
-9%
3B
-28%
K
+1%
vs league average · green helps the pitcher (K not inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
60°
Wind
2 43°
Rain
0%
HR Adj
-12%
K Adj
+1%
weather impact on projections · green helps the pitcher
odds as of 9:17 AM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game
Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast & pitch mix refreshed daily; season rates from game logs.