Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB + NFL + CFB + WNBA + PGA Analytics
JOSH BELL
Over 1+ HR—@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
Prop Board
HR 1+
no line
Hits 1+
no line
2B 1+
no line
RBI 1+
no line
TB 2+
no line
JOSH
BELL
Over 1+ HR—
Statcast Score
47
Grade D
Matchup
VS Troy Melton · RHP
91.1 MPH AVG FASTBALL
MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE
MATCHUP SCORE
51
VS
ERA
1.52
WHIP
1.11
K%
23%
Statcast Matchup
| Last 10 | Allows | |
|---|---|---|
| Exit Velo | 88.6 | 86.9 |
| Barrel% | 11% | 11% |
| Hard Hit% | 35% | 38% |
| xwOBA | .358 | .328 |
| xSLG | .502 | .461 |
| Whiff% | 14% | 22% |
| Chase% | 26% | 34% |
Hot Streak
No recent logs
Elite Contact
88.6 avg EV · 10.6% barrel · 35% hard-hit
Park / Weather
HR-friendly park · weather boosting HR
Mongoose Model Projection
—
Model Prob
—
Fair Odds
—
EDGE —
Recent Form · HR last 0 games
No recent games
Last 10: — AVG · 0 HR · 0 RBI · — OPS
HR 0.5
Season—
Home—
Last 10—
vs Melton1
Tonight's Park
HR
+7%
Hits
+1%
2B
+10%
3B
+10%
K
+7%
vs league average · green helps the hitter (K inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
80°
Wind
6 319°
Rain
0%
HR Adj
+17%
K Adj
-2%
weather impact on projections · green helps the hitter
odds as of 4:08 PM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game