Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Josh Jung
Texas Rangers · Texas Rangers vs St. Louis Cardinals
MG Score
60
C
Tonight's Matchup
41
Matchup
Tough matchup
vs Dustin May · RHP · 91.3 mph avg
50 = avg vs tonight's starters
ERA
3.77
WHIP
1.03
K%
23%
Statcast matchup
Batter
Pitcher
Exit Velo
87.6
85.2
Barrel%
11.9%
14.3%
Hard Hit%
37%
43%
xwOBA
.373
.286
xSLG
.526
.415
Whiff%
15%
33%
Chase%
34%
31%
Pitcher column = the rate this starter allows. Green = good for that player, red = poor (vs MLB average).
First career meeting vs Dustin May.
Tonight's Projection
Statcast · last 30d
Exit Velo
87.6
Barrel%
11.9%
Hard Hit%
37%
Sweet Spot%
35%
xwOBA
0.373
xSLG
0.526
Recent Games
Last 5
80%
4/5 games
Last 10
80%
8/10 games
Last 20
68%
13/19 games
Last 30
68%
13/19 games
AVG
.359
OBP
.419
SLG
.564
OPS
.983
HR
2
RBI
5
| Date | vs | AB | H | HR | RBI | BB | K | SB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6/1 | St. Louis Cardinals | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/31 | Kansas City Royals | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/30 | Kansas City Royals | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/29 | Kansas City Royals | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 5/28 | Houston Astros | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/27 | Houston Astros | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/26 | Houston Astros | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/23 | Los Angeles Angels | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/22 | Los Angeles Angels | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/20 | Colorado Rockies | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Spray Chart
Spray Rain
Spray Read
Josh Jung
Texas Rangers · bats RHB
vs Pitcher Hand
Window
Avg EV
89.9 mph
Avg LA
12.6°
Hard-hit %
42%
Barrel %
23%
Outcomes (100 balls)
Home Run
5Triple
0Double
10Single
24Out
61Each dot is a real batted ball this player hit, pulled from Statcast tracking.
Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast + spray refreshed daily.