Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB + NFL + CFB + WNBA + PGA Analytics
JOSH JUNG
Over 1+ HR—@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
Prop Board
HR 1+
no line
Hits 1+
no line
2B 1+
no line
RBI 1+
no line
TB 2+
no line
JOSH
JUNG
Over 1+ HR—
Statcast Score
50
Grade —
Matchup
VS Eduardo Rodriguez · LHP
88.2 MPH AVG FASTBALL
MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE
MATCHUP SCORE
22
VS
ERA
3.05
WHIP
1.27
K%
20%
Statcast Matchup
| Last 10 | Allows | |
|---|---|---|
| Exit Velo | 93.5 | 81.6 |
| Barrel% | 0% | 6% |
| Hard Hit% | 40% | 17% |
| xwOBA | .399 | .267 |
| xSLG | .531 | .365 |
| Whiff% | 14% | 24% |
| Chase% | 40% | 30% |
Hot Streak
No recent logs
Elite Contact
93.5 avg EV · 0.0% barrel · 40% hard-hit
Park / Weather
Pitcher's park · weather neutral
Mongoose Model Projection
—
Model Prob
—
Fair Odds
—
EDGE —
Recent Form · HR last 0 games
No recent games
Last 10: — AVG · 0 HR · 0 RBI · — OPS
HR 0.5
Season—
Home—
Last 10—
vs Rodriguez0
Tonight's Park
HR
-14%
Hits
+6%
2B
+16%
3B
+89%
K
-6%
vs league average · green helps the hitter (K inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
72°
Wind
0
Rain
0%
HR Adj
0%
K Adj
0%
weather impact on projections · green helps the hitter
odds as of 9:46 AM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game