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MLB / Research
Mongoose Bets
JOSH ROJAS
Over 1+ HR@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
Prop Board
HR 1+
no line
Hits 1+
no line
2B 1+
no line
RBI 1+
no line
TB 2+
no line
Josh Rojas
JOSH
ROJAS
Over 1+ HR
Statcast Score
29
Grade F
Exit Velo83.9Barrel%5%Hard Hit%21%xwOBA.245Sweet Spot%37%Whiff%12%Chase%33%
Matchup
VS Cristian Javier · RHP
88.1 MPH AVG FASTBALL
MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE
15
Terrible
VS
ERA
4.15
WHIP
1.22
K%
26%
Statcast Matchup
 Last 10Allows
Exit Velo83.986.9
Barrel%5%9%
Hard Hit%21%26%
xwOBA.245.367
xSLG.320.540
Whiff%12%34%
Chase%33%38%
Hot Streak
No recent logs
Elite Contact
83.9 avg EV · 5.3% barrel · 21% hard-hit
Park / Weather
HR-friendly park · weather suppressing HR
Mongoose Model Projection
Model Prob
Fair Odds
EDGE —
Recent Form · HR last 0 games
No recent games
Last 10:  AVG  ·  0 HR  ·  0 RBI  ·  OPS
HR 0.5
Season
Home
Last 10
vs Javier0
Tonight's Park
HR
+4%
Hits
0%
2B
-4%
3B
-14%
K
0%
vs league average · green helps the hitter (K inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
94°
Wind
5 127°
Rain
0%
HR Adj
-7%
K Adj
-3%
weather impact on projections · green helps the hitter
odds as of 6:21 PM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game