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MLB / Research
Mongoose Bets
JOSH SMITH
Over 1+ HR@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
Prop Board
HR 1+
no line
Hits 1+
no line
2B 1+
no line
RBI 1+
no line
TB 2+
no line
Josh Smith
JOSH
SMITH
Over 1+ HR
Statcast Score
45
Grade D
Exit Velo81.0Barrel%11%Hard Hit%26%xwOBA.385Sweet Spot%42%Whiff%22%Chase%36%
Matchup
VS Drew Anderson · RHP
89.4 MPH AVG FASTBALL
MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE
52
Average
VS
ERA
3.11
WHIP
1.27
K%
20%
Statcast Matchup
 Last 10Allows
Exit Velo81.088.8
Barrel%11%11%
Hard Hit%26%40%
xwOBA.385.376
xSLG.625.539
Whiff%22%24%
Chase%36%36%
Hot Streak
No recent logs
Elite Contact
81.0 avg EV · 10.5% barrel · 26% hard-hit
Park / Weather
Neutral park · weather neutral
Mongoose Model Projection
Model Prob
Fair Odds
EDGE —
Recent Form · HR last 0 games
No recent games
Last 10:  AVG  ·  0 HR  ·  0 RBI  ·  OPS
HR 0.5
Season
Home
Last 10
vs Anderson
Tonight's Park
HR
0%
Hits
-2%
2B
+9%
3B
-31%
K
-1%
vs league average · green helps the hitter (K inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
72°
Wind
0
Rain
0%
HR Adj
0%
K Adj
0%
weather impact on projections · green helps the hitter
odds as of 7:56 PM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game