Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB + NFL + CFB + WNBA + PGA Analytics
JOSUE DE PAULA
Over 1+ HR—@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
Prop Board
HR 1+
no line
Hits 1+
no line
2B 1+
no line
RBI 1+
no line
TB 2+
no line
JOSUE DE
PAULA
Over 1+ HR—
Statcast Score
50
Grade —
Matchup
VS Tyler Phillips · RHP
87.8 MPH AVG FASTBALL
MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE
MATCHUP SCORE
17
VS
ERA
3.92
WHIP
1.26
K%
22%
Statcast Matchup
| Last 10 | Allows | |
|---|---|---|
| Exit Velo | 90.8 | 85.0 |
| Barrel% | 0% | 10% |
| Hard Hit% | 33% | 33% |
| xwOBA | .170 | .325 |
| xSLG | .209 | .486 |
| Whiff% | 14% | 24% |
| Chase% | 0% | 33% |
Hot Streak
No recent logs
Elite Contact
90.8 avg EV · 0.0% barrel · 33% hard-hit
Park / Weather
HR-suppressing park · weather neutral
Mongoose Model Projection
—
Model Prob
—
Fair Odds
—
EDGE —
Recent Form · HR last 0 games
No recent games
Last 10: — AVG · 0 HR · 0 RBI · — OPS
HR 0.5
Season—
Home—
Last 10—
vs Phillips—
Tonight's Park
HR
-7%
Hits
+5%
2B
+8%
3B
+6%
K
-2%
vs league average · green helps the hitter (K inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
72°
Wind
0
Rain
0%
HR Adj
0%
K Adj
0%
weather impact on projections · green helps the hitter
odds as of 8:56 AM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game