Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
J.P. Crawford
Seattle Mariners · New York Mets vs Seattle Mariners
MG Score
61
C+
Tonight's Matchup
48
Matchup
Neutral matchup
vs Jonah Tong · 91.3 mph avg
50 = avg vs tonight's starters · limited data
Statcast matchup
Batter
Pitcher
Exit Velo
86.9
88.6
Barrel%
9.5%
14.3%
Hard Hit%
34%
43%
xwOBA
.348
.363
xSLG
.515
.606
Whiff%
18%
18%
Chase%
23%
23%
Pitcher column = the rate this starter allows. Green = good for that player, red = poor (vs MLB average).
First career meeting vs Jonah Tong.
Tonight's Projection
Statcast · last 30d
Exit Velo
86.9
Barrel%
9.5%
Hard Hit%
34%
Sweet Spot%
39%
xwOBA
0.348
xSLG
0.515
Recent Games
Last 5
80%
4/5 games
Last 10
70%
7/10 games
Last 20
60%
12/20 games
Last 30
57%
12/21 games
AVG
.233
OBP
.267
SLG
.442
OPS
.709
HR
3
RBI
6
| Date | vs | AB | H | HR | RBI | BB | K | SB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6/1 | New York Mets | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 5/31 | Arizona Diamondbacks | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 5/30 | Arizona Diamondbacks | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/29 | Arizona Diamondbacks | 4 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/27 | Athletics | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 5/26 | Athletics | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 5/25 | Athletics | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 5/24 | Kansas City Royals | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/23 | Kansas City Royals | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/22 | Kansas City Royals | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Spray Chart
Spray Rain
Spray Read
J.P. Crawford
Seattle Mariners · bats RHB
vs Pitcher Hand
Window
Avg EV
89.0 mph
Avg LA
9.3°
Hard-hit %
43%
Barrel %
16%
Outcomes (100 balls)
Home Run
7Triple
0Double
3Single
18Out
72Each dot is a real batted ball this player hit, pulled from Statcast tracking.
Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast + spray refreshed daily.