JT BRUBAKER

Over K—@ —

POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS

Prop Board

K

no line

Win

no line

ER

no line

H

no line

JT

BRUBAKER

Over K—

Pitch Arsenal · 30d

Sinker51%94 mph

Slider23%87 mph

Changeup12%89 mph

Matchup

VS ATL LINEUP

LIMITED DATA — ROOKIE/CALL-UP

MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE

66

Good

projected lineup

VS

ERA

—

WHIP

—

K%

—

Statcast · vs MLB Avg

	Pitcher	MLB Avg
Whiff%	14%	25%
SwStr%	6.6%	11%
Chase%	29%	28%
xwOBA-a	.327	.315
Barrel%-a	11%	8%
HardHit%-a	43%	39%

Recent Form · Last 5

—

K/GM

—

IP/GM

—

ERA

—

WHIP

Strikeout Upside

Strikeout data pending

Contact Suppression

11% barrel · 43% hard-hit allowed

Park / Weather

Neutral park · air boosting HR

Mongoose Model Projection

—

Model Prob

—

Fair Odds

—

EDGE —

Recent Form · K last 0 starts

No recent starts

Season—

Home—

Last 5—

vs ATL—

Tonight's Park

HR

+3%

Hits

+2%

2B

-4%

3B

0%

K

+7%

vs league average · green helps the pitcher (K not inverted)

Tonight's Weather + Adjustment

Temp

81°

Wind

11 222°

Rain

0%

HR Adj

+20%

K Adj

-4%

weather impact on projections · green helps the pitcher

odds as of 12:12 PM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game

Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast & pitch mix refreshed daily; season rates from game logs.