Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB + NFL + CFB + WNBA + PGA Analytics
J.T. Ginn
Athletics · Minnesota Twins vs Athletics · confirmed starter · Pitcher
ERA 4.72 · WHIP 1.33 · K 20% · 11 starts

J.T. GINN
K—@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
Prop Board
K
no line
Win
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ER
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H
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J.T.
GINN
K—
Pitch Arsenal · 30d
Sinker50%93 mph
Changeup18%88 mph
Slider14%86 mph
Cutter10%90 mph
4-Seam6%93 mph
Matchup
VS MIN LINEUP
SEASON RATES BELOW
VS
ERA
4.72
WHIP
1.33
K%
20%
Statcast · vs MLB Avg
| Pitcher | MLB Avg | |
|---|---|---|
| Whiff% | 22% | 25% |
| SwStr% | 10.4% | 11% |
| Chase% | 27% | 28% |
| xwOBA-a | .320 | .315 |
| Barrel%-a | 7% | 8% |
| HardHit%-a | 37% | 39% |
Recent Form · Last 5
4.2
K/GM
5.8
IP/GM
4.66
ERA
1.31
WHIP
Strikeout Upside
20% season K rate
Contact Suppression
7% barrel · 37% hard-hit allowed
Park / Weather
HR-friendly park · air boosting HR
Mongoose Model Projection
—
Model Prob
—
Fair Odds
—
EDGE —
Recent Form · K last 11 starts
0 of 11 starts over
Last 5: 4.66 ERA · 17% K
Season—
Home—
Last 5—
vs MIN—
Tonight's Park
HR
+4%
Hits
+3%
2B
+5%
3B
0%
K
-2%
vs league average · green helps the pitcher (K not inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
99°
Wind
8 206°
Rain
0%
HR Adj
+25%
K Adj
-6%
weather impact on projections · green helps the pitcher
odds as of 6:22 PM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game
Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast & pitch mix refreshed daily; season rates from game logs.
