J.T. GINN

Over K—@ —

POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS

Prop Board

K

no line

Win

no line

ER

no line

H

no line

J.T.

GINN

Over K—

Pitch Arsenal · 30d

Sinker35%92 mph

Changeup21%87 mph

Cutter18%89 mph

Slider14%85 mph

4-Seam12%92 mph

Matchup

VS CHW LINEUP

SEASON RATES BELOW

VS

ERA

4.07

WHIP

1.29

K%

23%

Statcast · vs MLB Avg

	Pitcher	MLB Avg
Whiff%	22%	25%
SwStr%	9.8%	11%
Chase%	31%	28%
xwOBA-a	.339	.315
Barrel%-a	9%	8%
HardHit%-a	28%	39%

Recent Form · Last 5

5.0

K/GM

5.1

IP/GM

5.96

ERA

1.52

WHIP

Strikeout Upside

23% season K rate

Contact Suppression

9% barrel · 28% hard-hit allowed

Park / Weather

HR-suppressing park · air boosting HR

Mongoose Model Projection

—

Model Prob

—

Fair Odds

—

EDGE —

Recent Form · K last 11 starts

0 of 11 starts over

Last 5: 5.96 ERA · 21% K

10

4

4

8

5

3

5

5

4

4

7

Season—

Home—

Last 5—

vs CHW—

Tonight's Park

HR

-5%

Hits

-2%

2B

-9%

3B

-28%

K

+1%

vs league average · green helps the pitcher (K not inverted)

Tonight's Weather + Adjustment

Temp

83°

Wind

5 97°

Rain

0%

HR Adj

+2%

K Adj

-2%

weather impact on projections · green helps the pitcher

odds as of 12:55 PM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game

Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast & pitch mix refreshed daily; season rates from game logs.