Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB + NFL + CFB + WNBA + PGA Analytics
JUAN BRITO
Over 1+ HR—@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
Prop Board
HR 1+
no line
Hits 1+
no line
2B 1+
no line
RBI 1+
no line
TB 2+
no line
JUAN
BRITO
Over 1+ HR—
Statcast Score
50
Grade —
Matchup
VS Casey Mize · RHP
89.5 MPH AVG FASTBALL
MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE
MATCHUP SCORE
29
VS
ERA
4.01
WHIP
1.14
K%
18%
Statcast Matchup
| Last 10 | Allows | |
|---|---|---|
| Exit Velo | 87.3 | 90.0 |
| Barrel% | 0% | 14% |
| Hard Hit% | 0% | 41% |
| xwOBA | .195 | .348 |
| xSLG | .240 | .551 |
| Whiff% | 22% | 10% |
| Chase% | 22% | 27% |
Hot Streak
No recent logs
Elite Contact
87.3 avg EV · 0.0% barrel · 0% hard-hit
Park / Weather
Big HR park · weather boosting HR
Mongoose Model Projection
—
Model Prob
—
Fair Odds
—
EDGE —
Recent Form · HR last 0 games
No recent games
Last 10: — AVG · 0 HR · 0 RBI · — OPS
HR 0.5
Season—
Home—
Last 10—
vs Mize—
Tonight's Park
HR
+27%
Hits
0%
2B
-1%
3B
-24%
K
+2%
vs league average · green helps the hitter (K inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
86°
Wind
6 263°
Rain
0%
HR Adj
+2%
K Adj
-2%
weather impact on projections · green helps the hitter
odds as of 12:03 PM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game