Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB + NFL + CFB + WNBA + PGA Analytics
Kade Morris
Athletics · Athletics vs Seattle Mariners · Pitcher
ERA 9.82 · WHIP 2.11 · K 13% · 5 starts

KADE MORRIS
K—@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
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K
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ER
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H
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KADE
MORRIS
K—
Pitch Arsenal · 30d
Sinker41%93 mph
Matchup
VS SEA LINEUP
SEASON RATES BELOW
MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE
MATCHUP SCORE
50
projected lineup
VS
ERA
9.82
WHIP
2.11
K%
13%
Statcast · vs MLB Avg
| Pitcher | MLB Avg | |
|---|---|---|
| Whiff% | 20% | 25% |
| SwStr% | 11.8% | 11% |
| Chase% | 45% | 28% |
| xwOBA-a | .395 | .315 |
| Barrel%-a | 6% | 8% |
| HardHit%-a | 31% | 39% |
Recent Form · Last 5
2.0
K/GM
2.9
IP/GM
9.82
ERA
2.11
WHIP
Strikeout Upside
13% season K rate
Contact Suppression
6% barrel · 31% hard-hit allowed
Park / Weather
Pitcher's park
Mongoose Model Projection
—
Model Prob
—
Fair Odds
—
EDGE —
Recent Form · K last 5 starts
0 of 5 starts over
Last 5: 9.82 ERA · 13% K
Season—
Home—
Last 5—
vs SEA—
Tonight's Park
HR
-11%
Hits
-12%
2B
-15%
3B
-35%
K
+18%
vs league average · green helps the pitcher (K not inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
72°
Wind
0
Rain
0%
HR Adj
0%
K Adj
0%
weather impact on projections · green helps the pitcher
odds as of 12:18 PM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game
Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast & pitch mix refreshed daily; season rates from game logs.
