Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB + NFL + CFB + WNBA + PGA Analytics
KAELEN CULPEPPER
Over 1+ HR—@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
Prop Board
HR 1+
no line
Hits 1+
no line
2B 1+
no line
RBI 1+
no line
TB 2+
no line
KAELEN
CULPEPPER
Over 1+ HR—
Statcast Score
31
Grade F
Matchup
VS Nathan Eovaldi · RHP
86.7 MPH AVG FASTBALL
MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE
MATCHUP SCORE
17
VS
ERA
5.05
WHIP
1.34
K%
22%
Statcast Matchup
| Last 10 | Allows | |
|---|---|---|
| Exit Velo | 84.7 | 85.9 |
| Barrel% | 0% | 13% |
| Hard Hit% | 26% | 41% |
| xwOBA | .263 | .355 |
| xSLG | .332 | .542 |
| Whiff% | 20% | 18% |
| Chase% | 43% | 32% |
Hot Streak
No recent logs
Elite Contact
84.7 avg EV · 0.0% barrel · 26% hard-hit
Park / Weather
HR-friendly park · weather suppressing HR
Mongoose Model Projection
—
Model Prob
—
Fair Odds
—
EDGE —
Recent Form · HR last 0 games
No recent games
Last 10: — AVG · 0 HR · 0 RBI · — OPS
HR 0.5
Season—
Home—
Last 10—
vs Eovaldi—
Tonight's Park
HR
+7%
Hits
+1%
2B
+10%
3B
+10%
K
+7%
vs league average · green helps the hitter (K inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
60°
Wind
11 138°
Rain
43%
HR Adj
-12%
K Adj
-4%
weather impact on projections · green helps the hitter
odds as of 3:23 PM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game