KODAI SENGA

Over K—@ —

POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS

Prop Board

K

no line

Win

no line

ER

no line

H

no line

KODAI

SENGA

Over K—

Pitch Arsenal · 30d

4-Seam37%96 mph

Cutter33%90 mph

Matchup

VS CHC LINEUP

SEASON RATES BELOW

MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE

16

Terrible

projected lineup

VS

ERA

11.00

WHIP

2.11

K%

21%

Statcast · vs MLB Avg

	Pitcher	MLB Avg
Whiff%	30%	25%
SwStr%	13.4%	11%
Chase%	18%	28%
xwOBA-a	.511	.315
Barrel%-a	25%	8%
HardHit%-a	25%	39%

Recent Form · Last 5

3.8

K/GM

3.6

IP/GM

11.00

ERA

2.11

WHIP

Strikeout Upside

21% season K rate

Contact Suppression

25% barrel · 25% hard-hit allowed

Park / Weather

Neutral park · air suppressing HR

Mongoose Model Projection

—

Model Prob

—

Fair Odds

—

EDGE —

Recent Form · K last 5 starts

0 of 5 starts over

Last 5: 11.00 ERA · 21% K

7

3

3

1

5

Season—

Home—

Last 5—

vs CHC—

Tonight's Park

HR

+3%

Hits

-9%

2B

-11%

3B

-25%

K

+4%

vs league average · green helps the pitcher (K not inverted)

Tonight's Weather + Adjustment

Temp

67°

Wind

3 1°

Rain

100%

HR Adj

-5%

K Adj

-5%

weather impact on projections · green helps the pitcher

odds as of 3:25 PM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game

Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast & pitch mix refreshed daily; season rates from game logs.