Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB + NFL + CFB + WNBA + PGA Analytics
KONNOR GRIFFIN
Over 1+ HR—@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
Prop Board
HR 1+
no line
Hits 1+
no line
2B 1+
no line
RBI 1+
no line
TB 2+
no line
KONNOR
GRIFFIN
Over 1+ HR—
Statcast Score
50
Grade —
Matchup
VS Yusei Kikuchi · LHP
90.3 MPH AVG FASTBALL
MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE
MATCHUP SCORE
31
VS
ERA
5.65
WHIP
1.49
K%
22%
Statcast Matchup
| Last 10 | Allows | |
|---|---|---|
| Exit Velo | 71.3 | 93.7 |
| Barrel% | 0% | 19% |
| Hard Hit% | 0% | 54% |
| xwOBA | .181 | .461 |
| xSLG | .227 | .661 |
| Whiff% | 0% | 22% |
| Chase% | 25% | 27% |
Hot Streak
No recent logs
Elite Contact
71.3 avg EV · 0.0% barrel · 0% hard-hit
Park / Weather
Pitcher's park · weather suppressing HR
Mongoose Model Projection
—
Model Prob
—
Fair Odds
—
EDGE —
Recent Form · HR last 0 games
No recent games
Last 10: — AVG · 0 HR · 0 RBI · — OPS
HR 0.5
Season—
Home—
Last 10—
vs Kikuchi—
Tonight's Park
HR
-20%
Hits
+1%
2B
+12%
3B
-23%
K
-4%
vs league average · green helps the hitter (K inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
69°
Wind
8 358°
Rain
0%
HR Adj
-14%
K Adj
+2%
weather impact on projections · green helps the hitter
odds as of 9:09 AM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game