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Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics

Konnor Griffin

Pittsburgh Pirates · Minnesota Twins vs Pittsburgh Pirates

MG Score
44
D

Tonight's Projection

Statcast · last 30d

Exit Velo
86.9
Barrel%
12.3%
Hard Hit%
40%
Sweet Spot%
34%
xwOBA
0.385
xSLG
0.557

Recent Games

Last 5
80%
4/5 games
Last 10
70%
7/10 games
Last 20
75%
15/20 games
Last 30
77%
17/22 games
AVG
.300
OBP
.349
SLG
.425
OPS
.774
HR
1
RBI
2
DatevsABHHRRBIBBKSB
5/30Minnesota Twins5200020
5/29Minnesota Twins4201012
5/27Chicago Cubs4111010
5/26Chicago Cubs4100110
5/25Chicago Cubs3000110
5/23Toronto Blue Jays3000101
5/22Toronto Blue Jays4000030
5/21St. Louis Cardinals4100001
5/20St. Louis Cardinals5400000
5/19St. Louis Cardinals4100020

Spray Chart

Spray Rain
200 ft300 ft400 ftLFCFRF
Spray Read
Konnor Griffin
Pittsburgh Pirates · bats RHB
vs Pitcher Hand
Window
Avg EV
87.9 mph
Avg LA
6.6°
Hard-hit %
37%
Barrel %
16%
Outcomes (100 balls)
Home Run
3
Triple
2
Double
7
Single
26
Out
62
Each dot is a real batted ball this player hit, pulled from Statcast tracking.

Advanced Statcast

Data Period: 5/21/2026 - 5/30/2026
Games: 8

Statcast Performance Profile

Advanced metrics from Statcast data (last 10 days)

Overall Grade
F
Performance Score
28
Exit VeloHard Hit%Chase%xwOBASweet Spot%
Exit Velo
84.7 mph

Average exit velocity off the bat

Hard Hit%
45.5%

Percentage of balls hit 95+ mph

Chase%
41.7%

Percentage of swings at pitches outside the zone

xwOBA
0.285

Expected weighted on-base average

Sweet Spot%
31.8%

Percentage of balls hit at ideal launch angle

Performance Insights

Strengths: No standout metrics

Areas for Improvement: Exit Velo, Chase%

How to Read This Chart
Excellent (75-100)
Good (60-74)
Average (45-59)
Below Average (0-44)

The larger the shape, the better the overall performance. Each point represents a different advanced metric.

Additional Metrics

Max Exit Velo
105.8 mph
Launch Angle
7.1°
xBA
0.243
xSLG
0.425

Batted Ball Profile

Ground Ball%
50.0%
Fly Ball%
22.7%
Line Drive%
22.7%
Pop Up%
4.5%

Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast + spray refreshed daily.