Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB + NFL + CFB + WNBA + PGA Analytics
Kyle Harrison
Milwaukee Brewers · Milwaukee Brewers vs Chicago Cubs · Pitcher
ERA 4.30 · WHIP 1.24 · K 28% · 10 starts

KYLE HARRISON
K—@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
Prop Board
K
no line
Win
no line
ER
no line
H
no line

KYLE
HARRISON
K—
Pitch Arsenal · 30d
4-Seam57%94 mph
Slurve34%82 mph
Matchup
VS CHC LINEUP
SEASON RATES BELOW
MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE
MATCHUP SCORE
48
projected lineup
VS
ERA
4.30
WHIP
1.24
K%
28%
Statcast · vs MLB Avg
| Pitcher | MLB Avg | |
|---|---|---|
| Whiff% | 24% | 25% |
| SwStr% | 10.4% | 11% |
| Chase% | 33% | 28% |
| xwOBA-a | .393 | .315 |
| Barrel%-a | 10% | 8% |
| HardHit%-a | 33% | 39% |
Recent Form · Last 5
5.6
K/GM
4.7
IP/GM
2.66
ERA
1.27
WHIP
Strikeout Upside
28% season K rate
Contact Suppression
10% barrel · 33% hard-hit allowed
Park / Weather
HR-suppressing park · air boosting HR
Mongoose Model Projection
—
Model Prob
—
Fair Odds
—
EDGE —
Recent Form · K last 10 starts
0 of 10 starts over
Last 5: 2.66 ERA · 28% K
Season—
Home—
Last 5—
vs CHC—
Tonight's Park
HR
-8%
Hits
-3%
2B
-15%
3B
+16%
K
+3%
vs league average · green helps the pitcher (K not inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
84°
Wind
10 208°
Rain
0%
HR Adj
+15%
K Adj
-4%
weather impact on projections · green helps the pitcher
odds as of 5:38 PM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game
Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast & pitch mix refreshed daily; season rates from game logs.
