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MLB / Research
Mongoose Bets
KYLE ISBEL
Over 1+ HR@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
Prop Board
HR 1+
no line
Hits 1+
no line
2B 1+
no line
RBI 1+
no line
TB 2+
no line
Kyle Isbel
KYLE
ISBEL
Over 1+ HR
Statcast Score
27
Grade F
Exit Velo83.1Barrel%7%Hard Hit%30%xwOBA.289Sweet Spot%20%Whiff%17%Chase%36%
Matchup
VS Bubba Chandler · RHP
95.1 MPH AVG FASTBALL
MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE
25
Terrible
VS
ERA
3.40
WHIP
1.17
K%
22%
Statcast Matchup
 Last 10Allows
Exit Velo83.190.6
Barrel%7%18%
Hard Hit%30%46%
xwOBA.289.395
xSLG.392.608
Whiff%17%16%
Chase%36%24%
Hot Streak
No recent logs
Elite Contact
83.1 avg EV · 7.1% barrel · 30% hard-hit
Park / Weather
Pitcher's park · weather suppressing HR
Mongoose Model Projection
Model Prob
Fair Odds
EDGE —
Recent Form · HR last 0 games
No recent games
Last 10:  AVG  ·  0 HR  ·  0 RBI  ·  OPS
HR 0.5
Season
Home
Last 10
vs Chandler
Tonight's Park
HR
-20%
Hits
+1%
2B
+12%
3B
-23%
K
-4%
vs league average · green helps the hitter (K inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
74°
Wind
4 112°
Rain
0%
HR Adj
-10%
K Adj
0%
weather impact on projections · green helps the hitter
odds as of 6:13 PM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game