Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Kyle Stowers
Miami Marlins · Miami Marlins vs Washington Nationals
MG Score
67
B-
Tonight's Matchup
vs Miles Mikolas · RHP
ERA
3.42
WHIP
0.84
K%
16%
Velo
89.6
Whiff%
4%
xwOBA-a
.281
Career vs Miles Mikolas: 3 PA · Low sample
AB
3
AVG
.000
OPS
.000
HR
0
H
0
K
1
Tonight's Projection
Statcast · last 30d
Exit Velo
89.4
Barrel%
17.2%
Hard Hit%
45%
Sweet Spot%
39%
xwOBA
0.431
xSLG
0.653
Recent Games
Last 5
80%
4/5 games
Last 10
50%
5/10 games
Last 20
55%
11/20 games
Last 30
52%
13/25 games
AVG
.205
OBP
.225
SLG
.410
OPS
.635
HR
1
RBI
5
| Date | vs | AB | H | HR | RBI | BB | K | SB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6/1 | Washington Nationals | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 5/31 | New York Mets | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 5/30 | New York Mets | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 5/29 | New York Mets | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 5/27 | Toronto Blue Jays | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/26 | Toronto Blue Jays | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/25 | Toronto Blue Jays | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 5/24 | New York Mets | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/23 | New York Mets | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 5/22 | New York Mets | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Spray Chart
Spray Rain
Spray Read
Kyle Stowers
Miami Marlins · bats RHB
vs Pitcher Hand
Window
Avg EV
90.3 mph
Avg LA
16.4°
Hard-hit %
55%
Barrel %
15%
Outcomes (73 balls)
Home Run
4Triple
0Double
7Single
13Out
49Each dot is a real batted ball this player hit, pulled from Statcast tracking.
Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast + spray refreshed daily.