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Lake Bachar
Pittsburgh Pirates · Pittsburgh Pirates vs St. Louis Cardinals · confirmed starter · Pitcher
ERA 2.33 · WHIP 0.93 · K 23% · 10 starts
LAKE BACHAR
K—@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
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K
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H
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LAKE
BACHAR
K—
Pitch Arsenal · 30d
Slider31%89 mph
Curveball30%86 mph
4-Seam24%94 mph
Sweeper9%86 mph
Matchup
VS STL LINEUP
SEASON RATES BELOW
VS
ERA
2.33
WHIP
0.93
K%
23%
Statcast · vs MLB Avg
| Pitcher | MLB Avg | |
|---|---|---|
| Whiff% | 20% | 25% |
| SwStr% | 8.4% | 11% |
| Chase% | 25% | 28% |
| xwOBA-a | .306 | .315 |
| Barrel%-a | 11% | 8% |
| HardHit%-a | 24% | 39% |
Recent Form · Last 5
1.6
K/GM
1.7
IP/GM
1.08
ERA
1.20
WHIP
Strikeout Upside
23% season K rate
Contact Suppression
11% barrel · 24% hard-hit allowed
Park / Weather
Pitcher's park · air boosting HR
Mongoose Model Projection
—
Model Prob
—
Fair Odds
—
EDGE —
Recent Form · K last 10 starts
0 of 10 starts over
Last 5: 1.08 ERA · 24% K
Season—
Home—
Last 5—
vs STL—
Tonight's Park
HR
-11%
Hits
+3%
2B
+3%
3B
-6%
K
-9%
vs league average · green helps the pitcher (K not inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
91°
Wind
6 0°
Rain
0%
HR Adj
+13%
K Adj
-5%
weather impact on projections · green helps the pitcher
odds as of 6:22 PM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game
Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast & pitch mix refreshed daily; season rates from game logs.