LAKE BACHAR

Over K—@ —

POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS

Prop Board

K

no line

Win

no line

ER

no line

H

no line

LAKE

BACHAR

Over K—

Pitch Arsenal · 30d

4-Seam29%94 mph

Slider22%90 mph

Curveball20%87 mph

Sweeper18%87 mph

Matchup

VS SF LINEUP

SEASON RATES BELOW

VS

ERA

3.27

WHIP

1.00

K%

26%

Statcast · vs MLB Avg

	Pitcher	MLB Avg
Whiff%	32%	25%
SwStr%	14.2%	11%
Chase%	28%	28%
xwOBA-a	.315	.315
Barrel%-a	6%	8%
HardHit%-a	50%	39%

Recent Form · Last 5

1.4

K/GM

1.2

IP/GM

7.50

ERA

1.50

WHIP

Strikeout Upside

26% season K rate

Contact Suppression

6% barrel · 50% hard-hit allowed

Park / Weather

HR-suppressing park

Mongoose Model Projection

—

Model Prob

—

Fair Odds

—

EDGE —

Recent Form · K last 12 starts

0 of 12 starts over

Last 5: 7.50 ERA · 26% K

3

4

1

1

1

1

3

3

Season—

Home—

Last 5—

vs SF—

Tonight's Park

HR

-7%

Hits

+5%

2B

+8%

3B

+6%

K

-2%

vs league average · green helps the pitcher (K not inverted)

Tonight's Weather + Adjustment

Temp

72°

Wind

0

Rain

0%

HR Adj

0%

K Adj

0%

weather impact on projections · green helps the pitcher

odds as of 1:55 PM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game

Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast & pitch mix refreshed daily; season rates from game logs.