Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
LAMONTE WADE
Over 1+ HR—@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
Prop Board
HR 1+
no line
Hits 1+
no line
2B 1+
no line
RBI 1+
no line
TB 2+
no line
LAMONTE
WADE
Over 1+ HR—
Statcast Score
39
Grade F
Matchup
VS Walbert Ureña · RHP
95.5 MPH AVG FASTBALL
MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE
MATCHUP SCORE
20
VS
ERA
2.92
WHIP
1.15
K%
22%
Statcast Matchup
| Last 10 | Allows | |
|---|---|---|
| Exit Velo | 87.3 | 88.0 |
| Barrel% | 9% | 7% |
| Hard Hit% | 35% | 38% |
| xwOBA | .267 | .301 |
| xSLG | .345 | .426 |
| Whiff% | 22% | 25% |
| Chase% | 23% | 28% |
Hot Streak
No recent logs
Elite Contact
87.3 avg EV · 8.8% barrel · 35% hard-hit
Park / Weather
HR-friendly park · weather boosting HR
Mongoose Model Projection
—
Model Prob
—
Fair Odds
—
EDGE —
Recent Form · HR last 0 games
No recent games
Last 10: — AVG · 0 HR · 0 RBI · — OPS
HR 0.5
Season—
Home—
Last 10—
vs Ureña0
Tonight's Park
HR
+4%
Hits
0%
2B
-4%
3B
-14%
K
0%
vs league average · green helps the hitter (K inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
97°
Wind
15 162°
Rain
0%
HR Adj
+8%
K Adj
-3%
weather impact on projections · green helps the hitter
odds as of 9:38 PM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game