Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB + NFL + CFB + WNBA + PGA Analytics

Mongoose Bets
LEO RIVAS
Over 1+ HR—@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
Prop Board
HR 1+
no line
Hits 1+
no line
2B 1+
no line
RBI 1+
no line
TB 2+
no line
Leo Rivas
LEO
RIVAS
Over 1+ HR—
Statcast Score
50
Grade —
Exit Velo91.3Barrel%0%Hard Hit%0%xwOBA.534Sweet Spot%50%Whiff%0%Chase%0%
Matchup
VS Reid Detmers · LHP
88.1 MPH AVG FASTBALL
MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE
41
Bad
VS
ERA
2.29
WHIP
0.95
K%
30%
Statcast Matchup
 Last 10Allows
Exit Velo91.386.9
Barrel%0%9%
Hard Hit%0%34%
xwOBA.534.338
xSLG.644.475
Whiff%0%25%
Chase%0%37%
Hot Streak
No recent logs
Elite Contact
91.3 avg EV · 0.0% barrel · 0% hard-hit
Park / Weather
Pitcher's park · weather neutral
Mongoose Model Projection
—
Model Prob
—
Fair Odds
—
EDGE —
Recent Form · HR last 0 games
No recent games
Last 10:  — AVG  ·  0 HR  ·  0 RBI  ·  — OPS
HR 0.5
Season—
Home—
Last 10—
vs Detmers0
Tonight's Park
HR
-11%
Hits
-12%
2B
-15%
3B
-35%
K
+18%
vs league average · green helps the hitter (K inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
72°
Wind
0
Rain
0%
HR Adj
0%
K Adj
0%
weather impact on projections · green helps the hitter
odds as of 8:09 PM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game