Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB + NFL + CFB + WNBA + PGA Analytics
Logan Gilbert
Seattle Mariners · Seattle Mariners vs Toronto Blue Jays · confirmed starter · Pitcher
ERA 3.61 · WHIP 1.07 · K 24% · 11 starts
LOGAN GILBERT
K—@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
Prop Board
K
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Win
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ER
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H
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LOGAN
GILBERT
K—
Pitch Arsenal · 30d
4-Seam40%97 mph
Slider28%88 mph
Splitter16%83 mph
Changeup10%86 mph
Sweeper5%83 mph
Matchup
VS TOR LINEUP
SEASON RATES BELOW
VS
ERA
3.61
WHIP
1.07
K%
24%
Statcast · vs MLB Avg
| Pitcher | MLB Avg | |
|---|---|---|
| Whiff% | 27% | 25% |
| SwStr% | 12.1% | 11% |
| Chase% | 25% | 28% |
| xwOBA-a | .362 | .315 |
| Barrel%-a | 16% | 8% |
| HardHit%-a | 39% | 39% |
Recent Form · Last 5
5.4
K/GM
5.5
IP/GM
3.25
ERA
1.27
WHIP
Strikeout Upside
24% season K rate
Contact Suppression
16% barrel · 39% hard-hit allowed
Park / Weather
Neutral park
Mongoose Model Projection
—
Model Prob
—
Fair Odds
—
EDGE —
Recent Form · K last 11 starts
0 of 11 starts over
Last 5: 3.25 ERA · 23% K
Season—
Home—
Last 5—
vs TOR—
Tonight's Park
HR
0%
Hits
-2%
2B
+9%
3B
-31%
K
-1%
vs league average · green helps the pitcher (K not inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
72°
Wind
0
Rain
0%
HR Adj
0%
K Adj
0%
weather impact on projections · green helps the pitcher
odds as of 5:39 PM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game
Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast & pitch mix refreshed daily; season rates from game logs.