Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB + NFL + CFB + WNBA + PGA Analytics

Mongoose Bets
LUCAS SPENCE
Over 1+ HR—@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
Prop Board
HR 1+
no line
Hits 1+
no line
2B 1+
no line
RBI 1+
no line
TB 2+
no line
Lucas Spence
LUCAS
SPENCE
Over 1+ HR—
Statcast Score
50
Grade —
Exit Velo50.8Barrel%0%Hard Hit%0%xwOBA.005Sweet Spot%0%Whiff%88%Chase%29%
Matchup
VS Mason Barnett · RHP
89.7 MPH AVG FASTBALL
MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE
27
Terrible
VS
ERA
10.36
WHIP
2.16
K%
16%
Statcast Matchup
 Last 10Allows
Exit Velo50.894.9
Barrel%0%0%
Hard Hit%0%50%
xwOBA.005.389
xSLG.006.493
Whiff%88%13%
Chase%29%23%
Hot Streak
No recent logs
Elite Contact
50.8 avg EV · 0.0% barrel · 0% hard-hit
Park / Weather
HR-friendly park · weather boosting HR
Mongoose Model Projection
—
Model Prob
—
Fair Odds
—
EDGE —
Recent Form · HR last 0 games
No recent games
Last 10:  — AVG  ·  0 HR  ·  0 RBI  ·  — OPS
HR 0.5
Season—
Home—
Last 10—
vs Barnett—
Tonight's Park
HR
+4%
Hits
+3%
2B
+5%
3B
0%
K
-2%
vs league average · green helps the hitter (K inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
87°
Wind
8 197°
Rain
0%
HR Adj
+25%
K Adj
-3%
weather impact on projections · green helps the hitter
odds as of 8:58 PM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game