Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Luis Rengifo
Milwaukee Brewers · San Francisco Giants vs Milwaukee Brewers
MG Score
30
F
Tonight's Matchup
12
Matchup
Avoid
vs Trevor McDonald · RHP · 89.7 mph avg
50 = avg vs tonight's starters
ERA
3.74
WHIP
0.92
K%
22%
Statcast matchup
Batter
Pitcher
Exit Velo
87.6
84.8
Barrel%
3.6%
5.3%
Hard Hit%
38%
37%
xwOBA
.319
.293
xSLG
.395
.361
Whiff%
18%
24%
Chase%
36%
31%
Pitcher column = the rate this starter allows. Green = good for that player, red = poor (vs MLB average).
First career meeting vs Trevor McDonald.
Tonight's Projection
Statcast · last 30d
Exit Velo
87.6
Barrel%
3.6%
Hard Hit%
38%
Sweet Spot%
27%
xwOBA
0.319
xSLG
0.395
Recent Games
Last 5
60%
3/5 games
Last 10
50%
5/10 games
Last 20
50%
10/20 games
Last 30
55%
12/22 games
AVG
.226
OBP
.314
SLG
.226
OPS
.540
HR
0
RBI
1
| Date | vs | AB | H | HR | RBI | BB | K | SB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6/1 | San Francisco Giants | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/29 | Houston Astros | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/27 | St. Louis Cardinals | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/26 | St. Louis Cardinals | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 5/25 | St. Louis Cardinals | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/24 | Los Angeles Dodgers | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/22 | Los Angeles Dodgers | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/19 | Chicago Cubs | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/18 | Chicago Cubs | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/17 | Minnesota Twins | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Spray Chart
Spray Rain
Spray Read
Luis Rengifo
Milwaukee Brewers · bats RHB
vs Pitcher Hand
Window
Avg EV
87.7 mph
Avg LA
6.0°
Hard-hit %
37%
Barrel %
13%
Outcomes (100 balls)
Home Run
0Triple
0Double
5Single
19Out
76Each dot is a real batted ball this player hit, pulled from Statcast tracking.
Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast + spray refreshed daily.